Actual chronic anxiety, however, may correlate with the ability to foresee disaster. A legitimate attempt at regulation would have to be done multilaterally, at the highest levels of every industrialized government likely via UN treaty and would require intrusive and likely surprise inspections of both government and commercial labs. They tend to see the problem leaping out of their data with a clarity that makes them unique. There was a process underway to address al Qaeda. And so I gave him the national strategy; he signed it, he approved it. They have the self-confidence to be first but not the arrogance that would interfere with their understanding of the nuances of the data. Listen, learn, and enjoy! What methods, if any, can be employed to better identify and listen to these prophetic warnings?
How can we detect a real Cassandra among the emphatic pundits? Cassandras see something no one else sees, not unlike renowned visionaries in the field of technology who envision things that no one else has yet built. Or will Cassandra forever be condemned to weep as she watches her beloved city of Troy burn? Finding Cassandras to Stop Catastrophes. What methods, if any, can be employed to better identify and listen to these prophetic warnings? Are there Cassandras among us today , warning of ticking disasters, whose predictions fall on deaf ears? We rarely believe those whose predictions differ from the usual, who see things that have never been, whose vision of the future differs from our own, whose prescription would force us to act now, perhaps changing the things we do in drastic and costly ways. They feel a sense of personal responsibility to fully and clearly explain the significance of their discovery and the consequences of inaction. The Cassandra problem is not only one of hearing the likely accurate predictions through the noise, but of processing them properly once they are identified. This characteristic is called orthogonal thinking. Self-perpetuating and untiring, this type of AI will improve at a remarkably fast rate, and eventually surpass the level of complexity humans can understand. That characteristic may prevent them from communicating in a way that will elicit the appropriate response and get their warnings taken seriously. We have been warned that we have one chance, and one chance only, to get it right. Formal education or training may be essential for their work. Often they clamor for our attention, and just as often they are ignored. He exhibits all of the Cassandra characteristics and is missing the Cassandra weakness of low social power. People die because we fail to distinguish the prophet from the charlatan. Clarke also cites the same plea in his new book. How can we detect a real Cassandra among the myriad of pundits? Pexels There are people among us who can see the future. Superintelligence does not yet exist, but when it does, some believe it could solve every major problem of humankind: He gave her the ability to foresee impending doom but the inability to persuade anyone to believe her. Finding Cassandras to Stop Catastrophes. Like Cassandra in the mythology of the ancient Greeks , he saw the future, but no one believed him. This question is not about Greek mythology. What methods, if any, can be employed to better identify and listen to these prophetic warnings?
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